Santo's Blog

A Response To Full BetEd bailout offer made from top book...ball is in their court

6/8/2011 7:25:00 AM by Santo
Strange times indeed. Fairly sure the 'best bailout offer for BetEd' won't be the best for players.

Discussion: [URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1104417-full-beted-bailout-offer-made-top-book-ball-in-their-court.html"]A Response To Full BetEd bailout offer made from top book...ball is in their court[/URL]

A Response To 5Dimes stole 14 500 USD

5/15/2011 6:33:29 AM by Santo
Ok, long-winded (because I write these cases up for another project, so duplicated a fair bit of the work), but here we go:

[B]Summary of zabula11 vs 5Dimes[/B]

The following is my opinion on the case, with the caveat that important details available to SBR are not public, namely:

1) The amount and dates of withdrawals paid to zabula11 by 5Dimes.
2) Whether such withdrawals were subject an audit similar to the one that led to this dispute.

[B]Key points of case:[/B]

Zabula 11 claims unjust confiscation of $14,500 from playing a Deuces Wild variant which had a player edge in the region of 12%. 5Dimes...

A Response To Is the Public Truly Wrong 75% of the time?

10/28/2010 12:14:16 PM by Santo
I wonder if there wasn't some form of selection at work here. Sports betting attracts a large number of people for entertainment, your 'public'. Non-sports events (weather, politics) may only attract those to wager who have some level of knowledge on the subject.

I was speaking at an academic conference in Tampere, Finland a couple of years ago, where a British academic was making the argument, in the context of real/virtual world convergence, that prediction markets weren't accurate because people were 'playing', and that basing public policy on them meant virtual worlds were no more virtual than the real one (poorly...

So, pretty soon we'll have threads complaining they haven't been paid on the tennis

4/15/2010 4:19:24 AM by Santo
Here's why (from [url]http://www.sportismadeforbetting.com/2010/04/has-womens-tennis-had-its-first.html[/url])

Quotes from Tennisform, a site which runs an excellent injury and information ticker (subscription required).


17:58 Azarenka has drifted pre-match to 1.31 from 1.07 [125k traded]. EDIT: Azarenka went off at 1.43, with 168k traded, and continued to drift out to 1.65 before a ball was struck.

19:47 McHale advanced when Azarenka decided to quit with a thigh injury early in the second set. The Belarus drifted alarmingly prior to the match, and continued to drift throughout the match, and despite building a 6/2 *2/1 lead, she was still considered the underdog on Betfair, where the betting patterns were...[/125k traded]
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